12.20.2024
45z guidance fails to appear; government scrambles to pass spending bill
The US government spending bill failed twice in as many days. If a deal is not reached by midnight on Friday December 20, some federal services will...
Not quite the follow through that some anticipated following the Commerce Departments announcement on their preliminary findings and countervailing duties on Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel imports. However, RINs did push higher, and with the B17’s trading at 118, prices closed at their highest level since December. The B17/E17 RIN spread expanded to 29 cents, continuing to expand as biodiesel RIN prices move higher while ethanol RIN values remain somewhat steady. The spread had been as narrow 14 cents just over a week ago.
Soybean oil also received a significant boost in price. The September and December contracts both closed more than 60 points higher, with the Dec contract trading as high as 35.37 cents per pound before pulling back and settling at 35.06. Heating oil rose 3 cents to $1.62 per gallon. The stronger move in soybean oil prices pushed the bean oil/heating oil spread to 93 cents per gallon. It’s highest showing in more than four weeks.
Weekly LCFS Credit Trading
Trading of LCFS credits during the week ending Aug 20th saw an increase of more than 500%.  Per California’s Air Resource board (CARB), 193,767 credits traded between Aug 14th and Aug 20th. The number of credits changing hands jumped 162,125 week over week and increased the year’s weekly average from 103,523 to 106,257 credits weekly.
CARB data shows that the price range the credits traded in expanded and moved higher. Credits traded between $72.00 and $95.00, with the average price being $84.26. The prior week saw a range of $74.78 and $87.50, with an average price of $76.08. There were 27 transfers recorded during the week, 27 more than were recorded during the prior week and 13 more than the 2017 weekly average of 14 transfers.
The average CARB credit trading price is in line with the range outside brokers had been indicating the market to be over the same time frame. CARB’s weekly report excludes 3 transfers totaling 19,288 credits because they were reported at zero or near-zero dollar prices. CARB only includes transfers that were completed in the given week. Any transfers proposed and still pending confirmation are excluded.
For any questions or comments in regards to Bean Oil Rebounds but Market Remains Subject to Further Downside, please contact David Becker at Google+, or LinkedIn
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