05.17.2024
Uncertainty with 45z tax credit may affect Q1 2025 biofuel contracts
The expiring BTC provides a one dollar per gallon blenders credit up front with an additional 30 to 40 cents of credit to producers on the backend. Crimson...
Soybean Oil Use by the Biofuel Industry Forecast Lower
The USDA lowered demand expectations from the biofuel industry for soybean oil in both the 2020/21 crop year and the 2021/22 crop year in their August World Agriculture Supply and Demand estimates (WASDE). Soybean oil estimates for 2020/21 soybean oil use were revised 200 million pounds lower to 9.1 billion pounds. The 2021/22 forecast for soybean oil use in biofuel production moved from 12 million to 11.5 million pounds in August.
The USDA did not provide detail on biofuel demand falling for soybean oil use. However, some recent news on capacity coming online may have swayed the decision. CVR announced they were pausing bringing their first plant online due to rising feedstock costs and were pausing further development on their second plant. Another plant in Oregon that was scheduled to begin production in 2020 is also stalled.
There are still plenty of reasons to believe…