Slowing Hog Slaughter Adds Risk for Tighter Fat Supply

Slowing Hog Slaughter Adds Risk for Tighter Fat Supply

Lard was offered out and unsold today at 40 cts/lb Chicago. Outside of the lard market, the trade was very quiet.
Hog slaughter finished last week at an estimated 2.456 million head, down 3.7 percent from the prior week and down 2.1 percent from the same week in 2023. Hog slaughter had been trending well above 2023 levels through February and the Jacobsen is forecasting that to hold true for March and April, but on a seasonal downtrend.
The Jacobsen is forecasting hog slaughter at 2.5 million head this week, up slightly from last week and up from 2023 levels. Over the next six weeks. The Jacobsen projects hog slaughter at an average of 2.463 million head, down 4.4 percent from the prior six week average and up 0.5 percent from 2023.

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Runner market commentary
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