Biomass-Based Diesel Price Forecasting

The Jacobsen sits squarely in the middle of energy and agriculture, giving us an unfair advantage in understanding the movements of the market. Each weekly forecast generated by pairing the results of our proprietary forecasting algorithms with the knowledge of our Senior Analyst Team. Our team openly shares forecast accuracy results with our customers, therefore our confidence is earned each week.

Along with price forecasting, this report looks at LCFS movements and margin comparisons. Customers equipped with our sophisticated forecasting can take actionable steps in generating greater profits.

What is in the Biomass-Based Diesel Forecast?

  • LCFS Credit Price Forecast
  • Gross Margin Comparisions for Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel, with and without Credits. 
  • Revenue vs Cost Differences for Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel
  • Renewable Diesel vs Biodiesel Costs Breakdowns of inputs such as DCO, UCO, YG, SBO, etc.
  • Impacts of Credit Values on Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel. 
  • RIN Price Forecast
  • Spreads on Heating Oil to SBO
  • HOBO Forward Curve
  • Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel Production and Spreads
  • EMTS Biofuels Supply, Production and Imports
  • Changes to the D4, D5 and D6 RINs
  • Domestic Ethanol
  • EIA Production Data, Feedstock Use, Sales, etc

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What makes our forecasts better? 

Proprietary Data with AI

Our unique history of 150+ years in the Agriculture space has allowed us to amass data and experience that is unrivaled. Continually we survey the markets to gather additional insights on production and pricing so we can better inform our customers. All our data is feed into our augmented intelligence platform, Sage, where forecasting is created and measured for accuracy and refinement. 

Outcome Agnostic

Unlike our competitors, The Jacobsen has no positions in the market, therefore our forecasts are an unbiased report of what the data tells us and what our analysts know of the markets. 

Transparent & Iterative 

We share our forecast history so you can see where we’ve been accurate and where we’ve missed the mark. Daily, we iterate our measurements based on our results, to continually refine our forecasting abilities. 

 

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