Biomass-Based Diesel Price Forecasting

The Jacobsen sits squarely in the middle of energy and agriculture, giving us an unfair advantage in understanding the movements of the market. Each weekly forecast generated by pairing the results of our proprietary forecasting algorithms with the knowledge of our Senior Analyst Team. Our team openly shares forecast accuracy results with our customers, therefore our confidence is earned each week.

Along with price forecasting, this report looks at LCFS movements and margin comparisons. Customers equipped with our sophisticated forecasting can take actionable steps in generating greater profits.

What is in the Biomass-Based Diesel Forecast?

  • LCFS Credit Price Forecast
  • Gross Margin Comparisions for Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel, with and without Credits. 
  • Revenue vs Cost Differences for Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel
  • Renewable Diesel vs Biodiesel Costs Breakdowns of inputs such as DCO, UCO, YG, SBO, etc.
  • Impacts of Credit Values on Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel. 
  • RIN Price Forecast
  • Spreads on Heating Oil to SBO
  • HOBO Forward Curve
  • Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel Production and Spreads
  • EMTS Biofuels Supply, Production and Imports
  • Changes to the D4, D5 and D6 RINs
  • Domestic Ethanol
  • EIA Production Data, Feedstock Use, Sales, etc

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What makes our forecasts better? 

Proprietary Data with AI

Our unique history of 150+ years in the Agriculture space has allowed us to amass data and experience that is unrivaled. Continually we survey the markets to gather additional insights on production and pricing so we can better inform our customers. All our data is feed into our augmented intelligence platform, Sage, where forecasting is created and measured for accuracy and refinement. 

Outcome Agnostic

Unlike our competitors, The Jacobsen has no positions in the market, therefore our forecasts are an unbiased report of what the data tells us and what our analysts know of the markets. 

Transparent & Iterative 

We share our forecast history so you can see where we’ve been accurate and where we’ve missed the mark. Daily, we iterate our measurements based on our results, to continually refine our forecasting abilities. 

 

Blog

03.28.2024

LCFS credit volumes, average prices move higher

LCFS credit volumes, average prices move higher

**Please note – There will be no Biomass Based Diesel bulletin on March 29, 2024, in observance of Good Friday.**

**Bob Lane was out of the office today.**


California low carbon...

03.28.2024

Diverging FOB and delivered markets to close out March

Diverging FOB and delivered markets to close out March

Please note – The Jacobsen will not publish an Animal Fats bulletin on Friday, March 29th in observance of the Good Friday holiday.

Trading was quiet ahead of...

03.28.2024

March monthly averages mixed for animal proteins

March monthly averages mixed for animal proteins

** Please note: The Jacobsen will not publish a bulletin on Friday, April 29 in observance of Good Friday. **

Light trade was reported for the end of...

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